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N494billion question mark over Dapo Abiodun’s fitness for Ogun East senate

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Dapo Abiodun

Dapo Abiodun N494 billion debt controversy raises concerns over Ogun East Senate ambition as critics question fiscal record and governance transparency

The emerging push by some APC stakeholders in Ogun East to position Dapo Abiodun for a senatorial seat in 2027 raises a serious question that cannot be glossed over by endorsements or party consensus: what exactly is being rewarded?

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Also read: Hon Longay Accuses Governor Dapo Abiodun of Political Hostility

At the centre of this debate is a fiscal record that is difficult to defend. When Abiodun assumed office in 2019, Ogun State’s debt profile stood at about N166 billion.

By December 2025, that figure had risen to roughly N494 billion.

This is not a marginal increase or a technical adjustment. It is a near tripling of public debt within a single administration.

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Regardless of explanations around currency devaluation or inherited liabilities, the outcome remains the same: a significantly heavier financial burden placed on the state and its future.

This is not abstract economics.

It translates into real consequences for ordinary citizens.

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Debt servicing inevitably competes with funding for education, healthcare, infrastructure, and youth development.

It limits the flexibility of future governments and narrows the possibilities available to the next generation.

In essence, today’s borrowing becomes tomorrow’s constraint.

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The administration has defended its record by pointing to impressive growth in Internally Generated Revenue and a wide spread of infrastructure projects.

Roads have been rehabilitated, health centres upgraded, and new developments initiated across various parts of the state, they claimed.

On paper, these are commendable efforts. However, the disconnect lies in scale and visibility.

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For a debt profile approaching half a trillion naira, the expected outcome would be transformative, landmark projects that fundamentally alter the economic landscape of the state.

What is seen instead are incremental improvements that do not convincingly justify the magnitude of the financial exposure.

More concerning is the lingering question of transparency.

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A government that has taken on such significant financial obligations owes its citizens a clear, detailed, and verifiable account of how those funds were deployed.

General statements about infrastructure and development are not enough.

What is required is a project by project breakdown that links each borrowing to measurable outcomes.

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Without this, the narrative remains incomplete and the credibility gap widens.

Leadership at the senatorial level demands a different kind of responsibility.

A senator is expected to provide oversight, advocate for federal resources, and represent the interests of constituents without the baggage of unresolved governance concerns.

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Elevating a governor whose tenure is marked by unanswered fiscal questions risks transferring those concerns from the state level to the national stage.

In contrast, the record of Gbenga Daniel offers a different benchmark for evaluation.

During his tenure as governor, Ogun State’s debt profile remained relatively controlled and aligned with visible development outcomes.

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His administration delivered large scale infrastructure, expanded industrial capacity, and strengthened the economic base of the state without creating an overwhelming debt overhang.

Daniel’s era demonstrated a balance between borrowing and tangible value creation.

Projects executed under his leadership were not only visible but also economically strategic, contributing to long term growth and investment attraction.

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The debt incurred during that period did not escalate at a rate that threatened fiscal stability, nor did it place an excessive burden on future administrations.

When measured through the lens of debt indexes and value delivery, the contrast becomes clear.

One trajectory shows a steep rise in liabilities with contested outcomes. The other reflects a more measured approach where financial decisions aligned closely with developmental impact.

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Ogun East deserves representation that inspires confidence, not concern.

It requires a senator whose record reflects fiscal discipline, transparency, and a proven ability to translate resources into meaningful progress.

On that scale, the argument leans strongly in favour of experience that has already demonstrated balance and accountability.

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The decision ahead is not merely political.

It is a choice about stewardship, credibility, and the future direction of representation for Ogun East.

A senator’s role is legislative oversight, federal resource advocacy, and constituency service.

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Handing Ogun East voters a governor whose signature economic legacy is a N494 billion question mark risks turning the seat into an extension of state-house defensiveness rather than a platform for bold representation.

The people of Ogun East are watching.

The N494 billion debt is not just a number; it is a litmus test of stewardship.

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Before any coronation as APC’s senatorial candidate, Abiodun owes them; and the next generation, a full, line-by-line reckoning.

Also read: Dapo Abiodun takes on Tinubu over standard of road constructed in Ogun

Without it, the endorsement rings hollow, and the case for his Senate bid collapses under the weight of unsustainable liabilities. Ogun East deserves better than borrowed time.

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Opinion

Seven prime ministers in a decade: What Nigeria can learn from Britain’s chaos

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Prime Minister

By Dr Toju Ogbe,

The resignation of British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, less than two years after leading the Labour Party to  a landslide electoral victory, was dramatic, yet reflected a pattern we have become familiar with in recent British politics.

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Also read: Abolish state of origin: A prerequisite for true national integration

Starmer now joins a procession of fallen prime ministers stretching back to 2016 – from David Cameron to Theresa May, Boris Johnson, Liz Truss, and Rishi Sunak.

None of these prime ministers was ousted through military intervention, popular insurrection, or a court order. Rather, each was ultimately brought down by the same political system that elevated them to electoral glory.

To the casual observer, the rapid turnover of British Prime Ministers in the last decade may appear chaotic, or even a symptom of political instability. Some argue that the British electorate has become ungovernable.

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However, beneath the apparent chaos at Westminster lies an uncomfortable truth that African democracies would do well to examine, particularly Nigerians who wonder why our democracy has delivered so little despite almost three decades of uninterrupted civilian rule.

The turbulence of British politics over the last decade, presents an important lesson on democratic accountability beyond successful elections.

Once the prime minister is deemed a liability by their own political party, the mechanics of accountability are activated. The daggers are quietly drawn and the ruthless pressure to resign begins.

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Every poll and survey on public opinion is closely monitored, local election results are taken as a referendum on leadership. Cabinet resignations begin to gain momentum and backbenchers get restless.

Once the news media smells an internal uprising, they amplify scrutiny of the prime minister, subjecting every move – speech, public appearance, political misstep etc to relentless examination.

Pressure gradually mounts until the prospect of bitter internal leadership challenge becomes impossible to resist. The Prime Minister falls.

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For every British Prime Minister, winning an election is merely the beginning of examination, not the end. Political survival lasts only for as long as the prime minister maintains the confidence of his party and the parliament.

This is the muscle of British democratic accountability; a political culture that prioritises institutional survival over individual ambition. Starmer recognised this reality in his resignation speech:

“The question my party is asking now is whether I am best placed to lead us into the next general election. I have heard the answer of my parliamentary party to that question, and I accept that answer with good grace.”

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That closing sentence alone is a masterclass in British institutional democracy. The party spoke. The leader listened. The correction comes from within.

 

Nigeria presents a strikingly different political logic.

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Nigeria on the other hand, presents an interesting contrast with a different political logic and culture.

The notion that a governing party would overtly interrogate the performance of its own leader and engineer a transition to someone better equipped to maintain public confidence, is in most cases politically unthinkable in Nigeria.

Political parties in Nigeria do not coalesce  around ideological principles; rather, they operate more as electoral instruments organised around powerful individuals.

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Internal dissent is often dealt with as betrayals rather than as part of healthy democratic engagement. Godfatherism and transactional loyalties shape political succession and leadership retention.

Once elected in Nigeria, there is an inherent assumption that a governor or president has a fixed two-term lease on power.

While 10 Downing Street is preparing to welcome its seventh Prime Minister in a decade, Nigeria, in contrast, has had only two democratically elected presidents during the same period – one of whom is still serving.

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Social and economic conditions may deteriorate. Insecurity may worsen. Campaign promises may be ignored.

Public frustrations may become unbearable. Yet, incumbent governors and presidents often remain insulated from meaningful internal scrutiny and are even routinely anointed as ‘consensus’ candidate for second terms provided loyalties to godfathers, rather than the electorates are maintained.

The consequence is that loyalty, instead of performance is often rewarded at the expense of accountability.

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This is not an argument for a revolving door at Aso Rock, as frequent leadership changes, by themselves, do not guarantee good governance.

Rather it is a case for making accountability an integral aspect of party politics in Nigeria.

Although the Nigerian presidential system provides for a fixed four-year term regardless of party confidence, political parties should however, be more than instruments for election campaigns, activated to simply retain or take over power every four years.

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Electoral victory, should not be the ultimate goal, but the starting point of public service where democratic legitimacy must be continuously earned.

Equally important, political parties must develop the institutional maturity to honestly evaluate their own leaders. They must prioritise public interest and institutional credibility over loyalty to ‘Godfathers’.

The ultimate lesson from Westminster’s revolving door is clear: the true strength of a democratic system, lies not in the ability to produce leaders, but the capacity to effectively replace them, when they no longer command confidence.

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Protecting failing leaders from accountability weakens democracy and political parties must ensure that no leader is more powerful than the institution.

Also read: Madugu Targets Strong WAFCON Title Defence for Super Falcons

As political parties gear up for the 2027 general elections, the political class must decide what matters more: we can continue to reward blind loyalty and endure predictable decline, or discover the courage to demand accountability from those who seek to lead us.

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